TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 23M
- Kalshi
Above 23M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks the performance of a musical act's global daily view counts on a major video platform over a specific week. Participants can speculate on whether the act will surpass various view count thresholds during that period. Outcomes are determined by actual view metrics recorded each day.
Kalshi
Multiple outcome thresholds are defined for this event, each corresponding to a specific Global daily view count milestone that the artist must surpass at any point during the specified week from September 7 to September 13, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: view counts are subject to location-based variance, and resolution will rely exclusively on values retrieved from a New York IP address using YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location filter. The markets and associated products carry no endorsement from YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts or branding serve only descriptive purposes without implying affiliation or approval. The consistent methodology across all thresholds ensures uniform verification standards for all outcome determinations.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, analysts may have specialized knowledge or models that the market hasn't fully incorporated. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement regarding the potential peak daily view count for Fuerza Regida during the specified timeframe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, influence how quickly prices respond to new information and changing sentiment about Fuerza Regida’s potential viewership.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by Fuerza Regida across all official video platforms during the period of September 7, 2026, to September 13, 2026. The specific view count data will be sourced from publicly available metrics reported by the relevant video platforms, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding Fuerza Regida’s tour schedule, new music releases, or collaborations could drive increased viewership. Unexpected viral trends featuring their music or performances could also lead to a surge in views. Conversely, negative publicity or controversies surrounding the band could dampen interest. Shifts in broader music streaming trends or changes to video platform algorithms could also influence the market, as could competitor activity in the regional Mexican music scene.
