TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 20M
- Kalshi
Above 20M - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether a specific musical act achieves various levels of global daily view counts on a major video platform during a defined week. The outcome depends on the performance of the act's content in terms of audience engagement and reach across international viewers over the specified timeframe.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for the artist Fuerza Regida between September 14, 2026, and September 20, 2026. For any threshold from 11 million to 25 million views, if the artist's global daily view count exceeds the specified amount at any point during the week, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All view counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Currently, it's difficult to directly compare, as there are limited public analyst forecasts specifically addressing Fuerza Regida’s daily view counts during that timeframe. However, if analysts predict a certain range of views, we can see if this market prices in a higher or lower probability of that outcome occurring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or simply the wisdom of the crowd identifying overlooked factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels – provides insight into the level of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by Fuerza Regida across all major video platforms (e.g., YouTube, TikTok) between September 14, 2026, and September 20, 2026. The specific view count data will be sourced from publicly available analytics and verified against credible reporting to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding Fuerza Regida’s tour schedule, album releases, or collaborations would likely impact their viewership. Unexpected viral trends featuring their music could also drive up views. Conversely, negative publicity or controversies surrounding the band could have the opposite effect. Changes in the broader music landscape, such as the popularity of regional Mexican music, and the performance of similar artists could also influence trading activity in this market.
