TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 15M
- Kalshi
Above 15M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 07d:09h:18m
Will Fuerza Regida have above 15M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks whether a specific musical act achieves various high levels of global daily views on a popular video platform during a defined week. The outcome depends on whether the act's content attracts sufficient audience engagement within that timeframe.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for the artist Fuerza Regida during the period from October 12 to October 18, 2026. For any of the defined thresholds—ranging from above 11 million to above 25 million global daily views—if the artist surpasses the specified threshold at any point during the week, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the "Global" location selected. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and none of the markets imply endorsement by YouTube or any affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a specific daily view count will be higher or lower than what is priced into this market, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to unique data points, making this a valuable comparison for anyone following Fuerza Regida's popularity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely daily view count for Fuerza Regida during the specified period. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Fuerza Regida content between October 12, 2026, and October 18, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and publicly available source, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly accessible data, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding Fuerza Regida’s tour schedule, new album releases, or collaborations could all impact their viewership. Unexpected viral moments on social media, positive or negative press coverage, or even competitor activity could shift sentiment. Changes in streaming platform algorithms impacting music discovery could also play a role. Any news that substantially alters public interest in Fuerza Regida has the potential to influence trading activity and, consequently, the odds in this market.
