TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks the potential for the musical group Fuerza Regida to attract massive global viewership on YouTube over a specific one-week period. The outcome depends on whether their daily view counts surpass various thresholds, reflecting interest in their content during that time.
Kalshi
The markets resolve to Yes if Fuerza Regida achieves Global daily YouTube views exceeding specified thresholds (ranging from 11 million to 25 million) at any point between August 31, 2026, and September 6, 2026. View counts are determined using data accessed through YouTube Charts, with “Global” selected as the location and values displayed from a New York IP address. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data source and disclaimer that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, with any references to YouTube being purely descriptive and not implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-sourced speculation. Analysts may focus on historical performance, promotional events, and audience trends to predict peak viewership days. Meanwhile, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on real-time betting patterns, news, and perceived shifts in fan engagement, which can sometimes lead to notable differences from traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for each possible outcome. The displayed probability represents the inferred chance of each day achieving the highest view count, calculated from the best available bid and ask prices. Trading volume and recent market moves also influence pricing dynamics as the event date approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the highest confirmed daily view count during the specified period will settle the market, and all bets will be settled accordingly based on official data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including last-minute concert announcements, media coverage spikes, social media trends, or unexpected performance changes by Fuerza Regida. Any news affecting fan attendance or broadcast reach — such as venue issues, streaming platform changes, or competing entertainment events — may also cause traders to adjust their bets, moving the odds toward days perceived as more likely to attract peak viewership.
