TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 5:05 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for July 12 at 5:05AM ET: If the Fubon Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Fubon Guardians". If the Chinatrust Brothers win, the market will resolve to "Chinatrust Brothers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for July 12 at 5:05AM ET: If the Fubon Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Fubon Guardians". If the Chinatrust Brothers win, the market will resolve to "Chinatrust Brothers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on where informed traders see edge. Comparing the two can reveal which side the crowd favors most strongly.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders at that moment. As new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or betting action—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices respond to news.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official result of the matchup. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate based on pre-game developments and real-time game action.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and lineup adjustments announced closer to game time can shift trader sentiment significantly. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price moves. Live game action—early runs, errors, or momentum swings—will drive continuous repricing as the event unfolds.