TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FSV Mainz vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FSV Mainz vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

Volume:
$843,611

Mainz

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 11:51 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mainz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$358,315
N/A
N/A
$203,779
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FSV Mainz

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$274,717
N/A
N/A
$118,717
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FSV Mainz vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shabab Al-Ahli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159,950
N/A
N/A
$107,335
Settled
No
polymarket

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether FSV Mainz will win their soccer match against Shabab Al Ahli Dubai on July 31, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for FSV Mainz to win stands at 99.5%, with a draw as the second outcome at 0.5%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi and resolving based on Flashscore. The outcome will be confirmed at the end of the match on July 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic divergence between platforms regarding how match outcomes resolve marketsHero tip: Traders should be cautious due to the fundamental logic difference; a single match result could trigger different resolutions across platforms. Consider hedging positions accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will FSV Mainz win? Will it end in a draw? Will Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win? Each market resolves independently based on the specific outcome.
  • Kalshi: Single market resolving to Yes if Mainz wins, Shabab Al Ahli wins, or the match ends in a draw. Resolves to No only if none of these outcomes occur (theoretically impossible in standard match outcomes).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, July 31, 2026 between FSV Mainz and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mainz vs Shabab Al-Ahli professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: a win for Mainz, a win for Shabab Al-Ahli, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration for all outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifting team form could all move this market as the match approaches. Media coverage and expert predictions may also sway trader sentiment, especially if there are notable changes in the teams' rankings or recent performance. Any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical shifts could cause rapid price adjustments on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi before the final whistle.