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494,234
Markets across
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events
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VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Over 3.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 3.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 16, 2026
Closed: Oct 16, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 3.5 total goals will be scored in the Frosinone versus Sassuolo Serie A soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the Frosinone vs Sassuolo professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 16, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 17, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Frosinone vs Sassuolo Serie A game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market specifies a different threshold for goals, ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be fully priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Therefore, you might see differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to find that this market is more reactive to real-time developments and less influenced by pre-match biases than traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Frosinone vs Sassuolo match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Frosinone vs Sassuolo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics provided by a recognized sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s final price will reflect the accuracy of the collective prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Frosinone or Sassuolo would likely cause movement, as would updates on team formations or tactical changes. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions before Oct 17, 2026.