TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Frosinone Calcio vs. SSC Bari
polymarket
kalshi

Frosinone Calcio vs. SSC Bari

Volume:
$233,674

Frosinone

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Frosinone

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,499
N/A
N/A
$29,206
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Frosinone Calcio

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bari

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,583
N/A
N/A
$52,344
Settled
No
polymarket

SSC Bari

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,125
N/A
N/A
$18,628
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Frosinone Calcio vs. SSC Bari)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Frosinone Calcio and SSC Bari scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets predict the outcome (Frosinone win, Bari win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Frosinone win, Bari win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with consistent, resolvable logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it contains a structural defect that makes settlement impossible. Rely exclusively on Polymarket's three separate binary markets. For settlement, use official Lega Serie B statistics published within 2 hours of match end; if unavailable, use consensus from credible sports reporting (ESPN, Sky Sports, official team sources).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: (1) Frosinone Win resolves Yes if Frosinone wins, No otherwise; (2) Bari Win resolves Yes if Bari wins, No otherwise; (3) Draw resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise. Exactly one resolves Yes. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Primary source: official Lega Serie B statistics within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Frosinone wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Bari wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates logical impossibility—all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Market structure is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.