TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Frosinone Calcio vs. SSC Bari
Volume:
$233,674
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Frosinone Calcio and SSC Bari scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets predict the outcome (Frosinone win, Bari win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Frosinone win, Bari win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with consistent, resolvable logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it contains a structural defect that makes settlement impossible. Rely exclusively on Polymarket's three separate binary markets. For settlement, use official Lega Serie B statistics published within 2 hours of match end; if unavailable, use consensus from credible sports reporting (ESPN, Sky Sports, official team sources).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: (1) Frosinone Win resolves Yes if Frosinone wins, No otherwise; (2) Bari Win resolves Yes if Bari wins, No otherwise; (3) Draw resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise. Exactly one resolves Yes. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Primary source: official Lega Serie B statistics within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Frosinone wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Bari wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates logical impossibility—all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Market structure is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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