TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs (W)
Volume:
$5,651
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Fresno State Bulldogs and San Diego State Aztecs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Fresno St. win or San Diego St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken. Polymarket's head-to-head structure is the only valid market here. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this should be two separate Yes/No markets or if the documentation is erroneous.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary head-to-head structure. Resolves to Fresno State Bulldogs if they win, or San Diego State Aztecs if they win. Handles postponements by keeping market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective binary structure with logical impossibility. States both Fresno St. win and San Diego St. win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Fresno St. wins...then resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. wins...then resolves to Yes.' No edge case handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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