TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
Volume:
$45,528
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Fresno State Bulldogs and Grand Canyon Antelopes scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads, and total points, with resolution based on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents 22 overlapping and redundant spread markets with no clear mutual exclusivity, while Polymarket uses standard sportsbook logic with clean, non-overlapping conditions. The Kalshi structure creates ambiguity about which condition actually governs each individual market.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the canonical resolution source. Its moneyline, spread (-13.5, -12.5), and over/under (146.5) markets follow NCAA standard settlement. Kalshi's spread markets appear to be data artifacts or duplicates; do not trade them without platform clarification on which threshold applies to each market ID.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three clean market types: (1) Moneyline: resolves to winner name. (2) Spread -13.5: Grand Canyon Yes if wins by 14+, otherwise Fresno State. (3) Spread -12.5: Grand Canyon Yes if wins by 13+, otherwise Fresno State. (4) Over/Under 146.5: Over if combined score 147+, else Under. Cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Grand Canyon Antelopes if the Grand Canyon Antelopes win the game by 14 or more points.'
- Kalshi: 22 separate markets, each with a single spread condition. Fresno State wins by >1.5, >2.5, >4.5, >7.5, >10.5, >13.5, >16.5, >19.5, >22.5, >25.5, >28.5 points (11 markets). Grand Canyon wins by >1.5, >2.5, >4.5, >7.5, >10.5, >13.5, >16.5, >19.5, >22.5, >25.5, >28.5 points (11 markets). No explicit mutual exclusivity, no tie handling, no cancellation clause. Key quote: 'If Fresno St. wins by more than 1.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (Market 8) and 'If Fresno St. wins by more than 2.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (Market 12) — both Yes for identical outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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