TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
kalshi
polymarket

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes

Volume:
$45,528

Grand Canyon wins by over 13.5 Points

 - Kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 13.5 Points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 13.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,004
N/A
N/A
$13,294
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 19.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,294
N/A
N/A
$2,545
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 10.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,760
N/A
N/A
$1,176
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 1.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,643
N/A
N/A
$1,643
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 2.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,629
N/A
N/A
$1,625
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 13.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$881
N/A
N/A
$881
Settled
No
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 22.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 7.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 16.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 4.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,061
N/A
N/A
$1,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,034
N/A
N/A
$1,034
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 1.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
No
kalshi

Grand Canyon wins by over 28.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
$632
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 4.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 28.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 19.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$379
N/A
N/A
$379
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 16.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 25.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 22.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

A men's college basketball game between Fresno State Bulldogs and Grand Canyon Antelopes scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads, and total points, with resolution based on final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents 22 overlapping and redundant spread markets with no clear mutual exclusivity, while Polymarket uses standard sportsbook logic with clean, non-overlapping conditions. The Kalshi structure creates ambiguity about which condition actually governs each individual market.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket as the canonical resolution source. Its moneyline, spread (-13.5, -12.5), and over/under (146.5) markets follow NCAA standard settlement. Kalshi's spread markets appear to be data artifacts or duplicates; do not trade them without platform clarification on which threshold applies to each market ID.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three clean market types: (1) Moneyline: resolves to winner name. (2) Spread -13.5: Grand Canyon Yes if wins by 14+, otherwise Fresno State. (3) Spread -12.5: Grand Canyon Yes if wins by 13+, otherwise Fresno State. (4) Over/Under 146.5: Over if combined score 147+, else Under. Cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Grand Canyon Antelopes if the Grand Canyon Antelopes win the game by 14 or more points.'
  • Kalshi: 22 separate markets, each with a single spread condition. Fresno State wins by >1.5, >2.5, >4.5, >7.5, >10.5, >13.5, >16.5, >19.5, >22.5, >25.5, >28.5 points (11 markets). Grand Canyon wins by >1.5, >2.5, >4.5, >7.5, >10.5, >13.5, >16.5, >19.5, >22.5, >25.5, >28.5 points (11 markets). No explicit mutual exclusivity, no tie handling, no cancellation clause. Key quote: 'If Fresno St. wins by more than 1.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (Market 8) and 'If Fresno St. wins by more than 2.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (Market 12) — both Yes for identical outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.