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Fresno St. vs USC: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Fresno St. vs USC?

Volume:
$2,563,194

USC wins by over 21.5 points

 - Kalshi

USC wins by over 21.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 12:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USC wins by over 21.5 points

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$725,352
N/A
N/A
$470,823
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 38.5 points

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$277,879
N/A
N/A
$118,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 20.5 points

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$207,800
N/A
N/A
$158,661
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 22.5 points

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$206,647
N/A
N/A
$127,399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 24.5 points

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,532
N/A
N/A
$97,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 30.5 points

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$134,429
N/A
N/A
$74,777
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 35.5 points

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125,708
N/A
N/A
$61,285
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 27.5 points

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$92,775
N/A
N/A
$47,141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 33.5 points

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,243
N/A
N/A
$29,931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 23.5 points

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$88,229
N/A
N/A
$58,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 16.5 points

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,716
N/A
N/A
$55,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 17.5 points

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,173
N/A
N/A
$24,217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 14.5 points

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,690
N/A
N/A
$18,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 13.5 points

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,728
N/A
N/A
$11,163
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,400
N/A
N/A
$9,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,341
N/A
N/A
$9,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,317
N/A
N/A
$9,106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,176
N/A
N/A
$8,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 11.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,261
N/A
N/A
$6,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,491
N/A
N/A
$6,113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,547
N/A
N/A
$4,872
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,458
N/A
N/A
$4,044
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,780
N/A
N/A
$3,675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,910
N/A
N/A
$2,904
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 41.5 points

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$225,343
N/A
N/A
$125,769
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether USC will win their college football game against Fresno State by more than 13.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to USC winning by over 13.5 points. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Fresno St. vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, specifically if USC wins by more than 38.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on September 4, 2026, with a final resolution date estimated for September 5, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Fresno State vs USC college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. For any market titled 'USC wins by over X points,' if USC's victory margin exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponement rules state that if the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they settle based on the best available information at that time regarding the likelihood of the specified outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Fresno St. vs USC spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,389,697. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the point spread between the two teams as the game approaches. The display updates continuously to reflect market activity and gives you a snapshot of investor sentiment through $2,563,194 in total volume.

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price in probabilities and potential outcomes. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on what they believe the final point spread will be. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on trader sentiment, news, and injury updates closer to the game.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread is calculated using official box scores and scoring summaries from recognized sports governing bodies and media outlets. Once the game concludes, the market settles based on the confirmed margin of victory, closing all positions accordingly.