TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:14 AM EST
Kalshi
Fresno State faces USC in a college football contest where both teams can aim for two points following touchdowns. The result depends on whether either side converts such an attempt within the regular game duration.
If Fresno St. and USC collectively record at least 1 successful 2-point conversion in regulation of the Fresno St. vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in nuances such as recent performance trends or injury updates that sportsbooks might not fully incorporate. Additionally, market dynamics allow for rapid adjustments based on new data, potentially creating opportunities where prediction market odds offer sharper insights or divergences from conventional sports betting lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, which reflects their collective expectation of whether Fresno State will score at least one successful two-point conversion during regulation. The current odds represent the probability as assessed by market participants, factoring in available data up to the event. Volume of $0 indicates trader interest, while 24-hour volume of $0 shows recent activity levels influencing price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of successful two-point conversions during regulation will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is selected, and the market will close accordingly.
Several key developments could shift expectations in this market before Sep 5, 2026. Injuries to key offensive players, changes in coaching strategy, or standout defensive performances might reduce the likelihood of a two-point attempt or success. Conversely, momentum-building drives, rule interpretations regarding eligible plays, or weather conditions affecting game dynamics could increase the probability. Media analysis, expert commentary, and practice observations leading up to the game also often influence trader sentiment and market pricing.