TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Fresno State and San Jose State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could lead at halftime, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference in the first half of the Fresno State versus San Jose State college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead meets or exceeds the stated margin by the end of the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently of the eventual game outcome. Only points scored during the first half are considered for resolution purposes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse information incorporated by traders. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available, and as traders react to news and analysis. Often, the prediction market odds will converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process on Kalshi is dynamic, adjusting in real-time based on supply and demand for each contract, and influenced by the collective insights of those trading.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Fresno State vs San Jose State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect the actual outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Fresno State or San Jose State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also impact trading activity. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also shift the market. Finally, any significant line movements at major sportsbooks could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price changes in this market.