TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Freshmen Drafted in the Top 10
kalshi

Freshmen Drafted in the Top 10

Volume:
$73,820

9+ freshmen drafted

 - Kalshi

9+ freshmen drafted - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 9:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

9+ freshmen drafted

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,869
N/A
N/A
$13,050
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8+ freshmen drafted

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,326
N/A
N/A
$7,851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7+ freshmen drafted

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

6+ freshmen drafted

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ freshmen drafted

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5+ freshmen drafted

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

10 freshmen drafted

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,654
N/A
N/A
$25,328
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether at least eight freshmen players will be selected in the top ten picks of the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official draft results as reported by the league. Watch the draft proceedings on June 26, 2026, when the top ten selections are announced to see whether the threshold of eight freshmen is met.

Kalshi

This event tracks freshman representation in the top 10 selections of the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft across seven progressive thresholds. Qualifying freshmen must be enrolled at U.S. colleges or universities during the 2025-26 academic year; international players who have not attended U.S. colleges do not qualify regardless of age or experience level. Outcomes resolve Yes if at least 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, or 10 freshmen are selected in the top 10 picks, depending on the specific threshold.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets reward accurate forecasters directly. For Freshmen Drafted in the Top 10, the Kalshi market may price outcomes differently than major sportsbooks, particularly as draft day approaches and new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual predictors disagree on freshman draft positioning.

The Freshmen Drafted in the Top 10 market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official draft results, specifically the count of freshman-eligible players selected within the top 10 picks. Once the draft concludes and the top 10 selections are finalized, the outcome is verified against the event criteria and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jun 26, 2026. Pre-draft workouts, combine performance, and injury reports on top freshman prospects will influence draft positioning. Mock drafts and analyst rankings published closer to draft day often move markets as new consensus emerges. Team needs, trade rumors, and coaching staff statements can alter which freshmen are expected to go early. Late-breaking news about player eligibility or draft order changes may also trigger sharp repricing. Each of these signals gives traders new information to reassess how many freshmen will actually land in the top 10.