TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL match between Fremantle Dockers and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for September 26 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fremantle Dockers" if Fremantle Dockers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL match between Fremantle Dockers and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for September 26 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fremantle Dockers" if Fremantle Dockers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions AFL Grand Final as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities of each team winning. Major media coverage, expert analysis, and public sentiment can also play a role. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding either the Fremantle Dockers or the Brisbane Lions could also lead to significant price movements on Polymarket as traders react to the new information.