TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Freiburg takes on Mönchengladbach in a Bundesliga game where the pivotal point is whether both teams can score within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome is determined by each team's ability to net at least one goal, with own goals counted toward the team they are awarded to.
If Freiburg and M´gladbach both score a goal in the Freiburg vs M´gladbach Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals predicting the likelihood of both Freiburg and M´gladbach scoring. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes value lies compared to traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Freiburg and M´gladbach will score during the match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, driving the price towards what they believe is the fair value. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and participation in this prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Freiburg and M´gladbach score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The result will be based on the final scoreline as reported by official sources, and the market will settle accordingly once the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or M´gladbach would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in attacking strategies could also lead to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely move the market.