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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington: Race Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington: Race Winner

Volume:
$604,693

Layne Riggs

 - Kalshi

Layne Riggs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Layne Riggs

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$74,140
N/A
N/A
$52,132
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyle Kirkwood

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,515
N/A
N/A
$66,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,727
N/A
N/A
$54,170
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaden Honeycutt

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,147
N/A
N/A
$36,749
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler Smith

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,832
N/A
N/A
$46,613
Settled
No
kalshi

Giovanni Ruggiero

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,076
N/A
N/A
$32,259
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Majeski

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,781
N/A
N/A
$30,724
Settled
No
kalshi

John H. Nemechek

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,085
N/A
N/A
$27,071
Settled
No
kalshi

Tristan McKee

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,751
N/A
N/A
$21,864
Settled
No
kalshi

Stewart Friesen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,099
N/A
N/A
$20,788
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Hemric

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,973
N/A
N/A
$19,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Eckes

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,854
N/A
N/A
$18,010
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Garcia

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,341
N/A
N/A
$17,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Grant Enfinger

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,312
N/A
N/A
$15,907
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Mosack

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,998
N/A
N/A
$16,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Haley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,297
N/A
N/A
$3,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Rhodes

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,494
N/A
N/A
$2,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Tanner Gray

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,488
N/A
N/A
$2,488
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Christopher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
$2,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Ankrum

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$754
N/A
N/A
$745
Settled
No
kalshi

Gavan Boschele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
$371
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Palou

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey LaJoie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Intro

This market tracks who will win the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington motorsport event. The aggregated consensus probability for Kyle Kirkwood to win stands at 99.9% across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms, with resolution based on official results from indycar.com. The final resolution will occur following the conclusion of the racing event window on August 30, 2026, so keep an eye on official race updates as the event approaches to see who claims victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental event mismatch: Polymarket resolves based on the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington (IndyCar), while Kalshi resolves based on the 2026 Team EJP 175 (a separate race with no overlap in drivers or series).Hero tip: Do not treat these markets as correlated — they reference entirely different races. Focus resolution efforts separately for each event using their respective official sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official IndyCar results for the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, using indycar.com and credible sports news as sources. Cancellations or rescheduling beyond 7 days result in "Other".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the winner of the 2026 Team EJP 175 (a different race), with 40+ distinct drivers listed. No specific resolution source or cancellation rules are defined in the provided data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Box Score / Final Race Results published by IndyCar following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only IndyCar's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the driver who finishes in first place in the Main race at the 2026 Team EJP 175, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market specifies a unique driver, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if that specified driver achieves the victory. Final determinations rely exclusively on official NASCAR results posted after the race conclusion, with provisional or interim results disregarded for payout purposes. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Freedom 250 winner market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each driver taking the victory. It displays current odds, volume of $604,693, and 24-hour volume of $371,773, letting you see consensus and divergence across venues. Because this market spans Polymarket and Kalshi, the dashboard offers a single view of where betting interest lies, highlighting any sharp shifts in expectations before the checkered flag.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information efficiency. While sportsbooks may set prices based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let traders react instantly to new data, such as driver performance updates or weather forecasts. This can create price gaps; for example, a sudden surge in a driver’s practice lap times might push prediction market implied chances higher than sportsbook odds, reflecting sharper, data-driven adjustments.

Key signals that could shift prices on this market include practice session performances, qualifying results, weather forecasts, and any last-minute driver changes or penalties. For instance, a top contender securing pole position may boost their implied chance, while an unexpected crash or mechanical issue for a favorite could rapidly depress their odds. Traders will also watch for team strategy announcements and real-time race updates once the event begins.