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Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington: Pole Position
polymarket
kalshi

Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington: Pole Position

Volume:
$16,930

Will Power

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 6:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Will Power

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,945
N/A
N/A
$2,765
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Will Power

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Palou

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Palou

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,532
N/A
N/A
$3,790
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,874
N/A
N/A
$2,869
Settled
No
polymarket

David Malukas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,717
N/A
N/A
$2,717
Settled
No
polymarket

Scott Dixon

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$825
N/A
N/A
$820
Settled
No
polymarket

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$780
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcus Ericsson

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$419
N/A
N/A
$390
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
polymarket

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Patricio O'Ward

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcus Armstrong

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Armstrong

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 64

Description

This group of markets predicts which driver will achieve pole position at the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, scheduled for August 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the fastest qualifying lap time set during the official IndyCar qualifying session, regardless of subsequent penalties or grid changes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental mismatch in settlement criteria: Polymarket uses qualifying session results while Kalshi uses main race fastest lap time.Hero tip: Avoid markets where settlement criteria differ fundamentally across platforms; focus on Polymarket for qualifying-based outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the driver who sets the fastest time during the qualifying session for the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, per official IndyCar results.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the driver who records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. If the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

If Alex Palou records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josef Newgarden records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Malukas records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott McLaughlin records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Rosenqvist records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Ericsson records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pato O’Ward records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mick Schumacher records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyffin Simpson records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Kirkwood records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nolan Siegel records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rinus Veekay records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Santino Ferrucci records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Romain Grosjean records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sting Ray Robb records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Lundgaard records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis Foster records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Dixon records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Graham Rahal records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Power records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dennis Hauger records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Rasmussen records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Rossi records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Armstrong records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caio Collet records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the IndyCar 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Freedom 250 pole position market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing the current consensus view of who will secure pole position. It displays aggregated volume of $16,930 and 24-hour volume of $10,398, along with platform-specific probabilities. This centralized view helps traders monitor how market sentiment evolves as the race approaches, reflecting the latest predictions from participants across different prediction markets.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader public betting trends and proprietary models, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of individual traders, which can result in sharper or more volatile price movements.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might have more traders focused on short-term betting, skewing its odds. Additionally, each venue may have distinct order books and open interest levels, leading to price discrepancies. These variations often narrow as the event date looms closer, but until then, market-specific dynamics can keep prices apart.