TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington: Biggest Mover
kalshi

Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington: Biggest Mover

Volume:
$20,129

Kyffin Simpson

 - Kalshi

Kyffin Simpson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 6:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyffin Simpson

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,266
N/A
N/A
$2,924
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,255
N/A
N/A
$4,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Palou

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,911
N/A
N/A
$1,766
Settled
No
kalshi

Graham Rahal

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
$1,362
Settled
No
kalshi

Santino Ferrucci

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
$735
Settled
No
kalshi

Romain Grosjean

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$957
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Power

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$477
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$459
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Rossi

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
$404
Settled
No
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
No
kalshi

Sting Ray Robb

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$377
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Lundgaard

0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
No
kalshi

Rinus Veekay

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Louis Foster

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Rasmussen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mick Schumacher

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nolan Siegel

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dennis Hauger

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Armstrong

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Caio Collet

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This market focuses on identifying which driver achieves the greatest improvement in race position from start to finish at a specific IndyCar event. The outcome depends entirely on each driver's official starting and finishing positions, reflecting their performance gains during the race.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which driver records the largest positive difference between their starting grid position and finishing position in the main race. All drivers must have both an official starting grid and a classified finishing position to qualify. If multiple drivers tie for the largest position gain, payouts are divided equally among 'Yes' positions, with 'No' positions receiving the complementary amount. Special rules handle tie scenarios in grid or finish positions, and pit-lane starters are assigned positions accordingly. Postponements within 48 hours keep the market active, while outright cancellations or reschedules beyond that window result in fair settlement of all contracts.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Freedom 250 biggest mover market, along with current 24-hour volume of $17,502. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the event, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity for this specific market.

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader range of outcomes and can price in nuances that sportsbooks may overlook. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analyst views and historical trends, this market lets traders vote with their dollars, potentially creating sharper or more volatile pricing as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by official race results and any relevant post-race determinations, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.

Key signals that could shift this market include practice session performances, qualifying results, last-minute driver changes, weather forecasts affecting race conditions, and any penalties or technical regulations impacting competitors. As these developments unfold, traders on Kalshi will react, potentially creating noticeable swings in odds and volume leading up to Aug 23, 2026.