TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fredrikstad FK and Lillestrøm SK, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lillestrøm SK" if Lillestrøm SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Fredrikstad FK and Lillestrøm SK, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lillestrøm SK" if Lillestrøm SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while this market is priced entirely by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about which team scores first. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy. Comparing the two can reveal where public or professional opinion diverges on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability of that team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous auction mechanism means prices update in real time as new bets arrive. Traders profit by correctly predicting which outcome will occur, creating strong incentives for accurate pricing throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in the match. Resolution is confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds, as can recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence which side traders favor for an early goal. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments such as starting XI confirmations or managerial statements often trigger sharp price movements. Live betting sentiment and pre-match analysis from respected analysts can further sway trader positioning in this market.