TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad FK and Lillestrøm SK, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad FK and Lillestrøm SK, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates decentralized trader conviction about the exact scoreline, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian views that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd's genuine expectations differ from bookmaker pricing, though both sources carry uncertainty given the inherent unpredictability of football matches.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling a particular scoreline moves its odds up or down based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, but prices remain fluid as new bets flow in. Each exact score functions as its own contract, so you can isolate your view on a specific final result rather than betting on broader match categories. Prices update continuously, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match between Fredrikstad and Lillestrøm concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. Traders holding contracts matching the true final score receive their payout, while all other exact score outcomes expire worthless. Resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to the official match result reported by the Norwegian football league and major sports data providers.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds on specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence which exact scores traders favor. Weather conditions on match day may affect play style and goal-scoring likelihood. Betting action itself can move prices as large traders position ahead of kickoff. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and late-breaking roster updates often trigger repricing. Close to the match, any last-minute developments such as suspensions or unexpected absences can cause sharp moves in the odds for high-scoring versus low-scoring outcomes.