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$1,440,096,988

406,065

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30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK?

Volume:
$262,684

Lillestroem

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lillestroem

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114,983
N/A
N/A
$90,194
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lillestrøm SK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fredrikstad FK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fredrikstad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,840
N/A
N/A
$18,479
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,769
N/A
N/A
$18,854
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Norwegian Eliteserien soccer match between Fredrikstad FK and Lillestrøm SK scheduled for July 11, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Fredrikstad win, draw, and Lillestrøm win. The markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure divergence: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets, while Kalshi offers a single omnibus market that resolves Yes for any match outcome. This creates different trading mechanics and hedge profiles despite identical underlying event.Hero tip: Polymarket markets are outcome-specific bets; Kalshi is a match-completion bet. Kalshi's Yes resolves on any result (Fredrikstad win, Lillestrøm win, or draw). Polymarket requires selecting one specific outcome. These cannot be treated as interchangeable positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Fredrikstad win market: Yes if Fredrikstad wins, No otherwise. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise (including if canceled). Lillestrøm win market: Yes if Lillestrøm wins, No otherwise. Exactly one market resolves Yes; two resolve No. Resolution source: official Eliteserien statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Single omnibus market covering all three outcomes. Resolves Yes if Fredrikstad wins OR Lillestrøm wins OR draw occurs. Resolves No only if game is canceled with no makeup. This is effectively a match-completion market, not an outcome-specific market. Any completed match result triggers Yes resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between Fredrikstad FK and Lillestrøm SK.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Fredrikstad vs Lillestroem professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Fredrikstad win, Lillestroem win, or tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books or automated market makers. This market reflects what traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional bookmaker pricing, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts ahead of kickoff.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates distinct liquidity pools, fee structures, and trader demographics. Polymarket uses an automated market maker, while Kalshi employs order-book mechanics, leading to different price discovery speeds. Regulatory frameworks and user bases also vary—some traders may prefer one venue over another based on interface, leverage availability, or settlement confidence. These structural differences mean identical events can trade at slightly different odds across platforms, creating arbitrage opportunities or reflecting genuine disagreement about outcome probabilities.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically drives significant repricing in football markets. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day and any late tactical announcements can shift odds in the final hours. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity often precede visible price moves. Monitoring official team announcements and sports news outlets will help you anticipate volatility before it reflects in this market's odds.