TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 11:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international club friendly soccer match between Frankfurt and Trabzonspor. The result is determined solely by the standing after the full 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers all scenarios where a clear winner emerges or the game ends in a draw within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the result of the Frankfurt vs Trabzonspor professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for July 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Frankfurt win, Trabzonspor win, or a tie. If either team secures a victory within the standard match duration, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of normal playing time.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks may set prices based on broader analytics, prediction markets let participants price in real-time information, potentially offering sharper or more volatile odds depending on recent news or performance trends.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of bets placed, with prices adjusting dynamically as new information emerges or trading volume changes. This mechanism allows for a crowdsourced assessment of likely results.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then recorded and matched against the positions traders held leading up to resolution on Kalshi.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Jul 26, 2026. Key performances in lead-up matches, player injuries or lineup changes, and tactical announcements from coaching staffs often influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and expert analysis may also sway perceptions. As the contest nears, any last-minute updates — such as weather conditions or stadium news — might cause rapid adjustments. Traders will react to any development that alters the perceived likelihood of outcomes.