TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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France vs. Sweden - More Markets
polymarket
predict

What is the result of France vs Sweden?

Volume:
$32,341,025

France (-1.5)

 - Polymarket

France (-1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

France (-1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,285,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Team to Advance

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,572,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France (-2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,441,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,006,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$764,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$624,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$456,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$262,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$257,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$167,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France 2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France 2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,362,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FRA

N/A
N/A
—
$291,473
$2,396,745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$880,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France (-3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$591,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sweden (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$326,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SWE

N/A
N/A
—
$12,608
$250,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sweden O/U 0.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks whether the France vs. Sweden FIFA World Cup match on June 30, 2026 will see at least one goal scored in the first half. Across Polymarket and Predict, the aggregated consensus probability for over 0.5 goals in the first half stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics published on fifa.com, or if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, by consensus of credible reporting sources. Watch for the match kickoff on June 30, 2026, as early goal activity will be the primary signal determining this market's outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Predict and Polymarket platforms apply identical resolution logic: official FIFA final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent postponement and cancellation handling across all market types.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA statistics published on fifa.com; if not available within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official final score as recognized by FIFA or the governing body.
  • Scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions.
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: outcome markets (France win, Sweden win, draw) resolve per their specific rules; spread and over/under markets resolve 50-50.
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining the outcome.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No interim resolution occurs.
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Predict platform: Draw market resolves Yes, France/Sweden win markets resolve No. Polymarket: Spread and over/under markets resolve 50-50.
  • Official Score Delay: If FIFA does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source.
  • Score Revision After Resolution: Any official score revisions made after market resolution are not applied; the initially published final score stands.
  • Scope Boundary (90 Minutes + Stoppage): All markets resolve on first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published by FIFA or the governing body, with a maximum 2-hour window for official publication before credible reporting consensus may be used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 30, 2026 between France and Sweden.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market often reflects sharper, less biased estimates because traders risk real capital on outcomes. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or late-breaking news faster due to professional monitoring. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities and highlight where consensus diverges most significantly.

Polymarket and Predict may show different odds due to variations in trader composition, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. One platform may attract more sophisticated bettors or have tighter spreads, leading to faster price adjustment to news. Regulatory differences, settlement rule clarity, and platform-specific incentives can also create temporary arbitrage windows. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand which platform's traders are most confident in their assessment of the matchup.

Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—that alter perceived win probability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and qualifying performance all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and betting-market sentiment can trigger repricing. Major sportsbook line moves often precede prediction market shifts as professional bettors arbitrage across venues. Social media momentum and expert commentary may also sway retail traders. Monitor official team statements and credible sports media for developments that could swing odds significantly before kickoff.