TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the France vs. Sweden FIFA World Cup match on June 30, 2026 will see at least one goal scored in the first half. Across Polymarket and Predict, the aggregated consensus probability for over 0.5 goals in the first half stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics published on fifa.com, or if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, by consensus of credible reporting sources. Watch for the match kickoff on June 30, 2026, as early goal activity will be the primary signal determining this market's outcome.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 30, 2026 between France and Sweden.
Polymarket and Predict may show different odds due to variations in trader composition, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. One platform may attract more sophisticated bettors or have tighter spreads, leading to faster price adjustment to news. Regulatory differences, settlement rule clarity, and platform-specific incentives can also create temporary arbitrage windows. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand which platform's traders are most confident in their assessment of the matchup.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—that alter perceived win probability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and qualifying performance all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and betting-market sentiment can trigger repricing. Major sportsbook line moves often precede prediction market shifts as professional bettors arbitrage across venues. Social media momentum and expert commentary may also sway retail traders. Monitor official team statements and credible sports media for developments that could swing odds significantly before kickoff.