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France vs. Spain - Player Props
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of France vs Spain?

Volume:
$4,816,747

Mikel Oyarzabal

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 4:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mikel Oyarzabal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,492
N/A
N/A
$73,265
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dani Olmo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,978
N/A
N/A
$46,616
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dani Olmo: 1+ goals + assists

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dani Olmo: 1+ assists

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pedro Porro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,580
N/A
N/A
$13,732
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pedro Porro: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pedro Porro: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dani Olmo: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Désiré Doué: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$6,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Désiré Doué: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Baena: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Baena: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pedro Porro: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 288

Intro

This market tracks whether French winger Désiré Doué will record at least one shot on target during the France vs. Spain FIFA World Cup match. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus stands at 100.0% for this outcome, reflecting strong agreement on the likelihood of the event occurring. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records. Watch for the match kickoff on July 14, 2026, when this prop will be settled based on live performance data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi includes full match scope (regulation + stoppage + extra time + penalties); Polymarket restricts to 90 minutes + stoppage only. Kalshi tracks goals OR assists; Polymarket tracks goals only. These scope and metric differences create distinct settlement outcomes for identical player performance scenarios.Hero tip: If the match reaches extra time, outcomes diverge sharply. A player assist in ET counts on Kalshi but is ignored on Polymarket. A goal in ET counts on Kalshi but not Polymarket. Confirm your platform's scope before trading. If you expect ET, Kalshi props are broader; if you expect regulation finish, both platforms converge. Monitor match progression closely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Tracks goals OR assists during entire match including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Broader scope and dual-metric approach. Key Quote: 'If [Player] records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Tracks goals only within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Excludes extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly. Narrower scope and single-metric (goals). Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if [Player] records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No... This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the designated player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 14, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement is determined by official match records. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is based on the goals and assists actually recorded by that player during play.

Frequently asked questions

The France vs. Spain player props market aggregates individual player performance predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting traders wager on outcomes like goals, assists, and other statistical milestones for specific athletes in this matchup. Each platform maintains its own order book and pricing, creating a real-time view of how the prediction community values each player's contribution. This cross-venue tracking reveals consensus expectations and highlights where professional and retail traders diverge on performance thresholds.

Prediction markets operate on continuous price discovery rather than fixed lines. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in an outcome, and the final price represents aggregate conviction. Unlike traditional sportsbooks that set odds and manage liability, this market's prices shift in real time based on order flow and new information. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more dynamic adjustments to breaking news, team lineups, or injury reports than sportsbooks, which update less frequently to protect their margins.

Team lineups and starting XI announcements typically trigger sharp repricing, especially for players whose participation was uncertain. Injury updates, suspension news, or tactical shifts by either coach can dramatically alter expectations for individual contributions. Early match momentum—an early goal or red card—often cascades into rapid position adjustments as traders reassess remaining-game scenarios. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster changes also drive volatility in player prop markets closer to kickoff.