TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match between two national teams scheduled for June 16, 2026, where the first-half margin of victory for either team exceeds a specified threshold.
Resolution is determined by the score differential at the end of the first half, including the 45-minute regulation period plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The market includes outcomes for France winning the first half by a specified margin and Senegal winning the first half by a specified margin. Each outcome resolves independently based on whether the actual first-half goal differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold in the indicated direction. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original June 16, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs and real-money incentives, often differing from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on historical data, team form, and tactical analysis, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader conviction. For the France vs Senegal first-half spread, comparing Kalshi odds to expert predictions from sports media or statistical models can reveal where the market consensus diverges from professional opinion, helping you identify potential value.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the France vs Senegal first-half spread is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to the outcome. The market price reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers at any moment. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or early match developments—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Kalshi's transparent pricing allows you to see the exact cost of taking either side of the spread.
The France vs Senegal: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score or result at the end of the first half of the match. The specific spread threshold and outcome criteria are defined in the market's terms, which you should review before trading. Once the first half concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles and contracts are paid out according to the outcome.
Several factors can shift the France vs Senegal first-half spread odds before resolution. Team news—such as late injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp price moves. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary can sway trader sentiment. Early match events like goals, red cards, or momentum swings during the first half itself will drive rapid repricing as new information arrives. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting syndicates placing large positions can also influence the market price significantly.