TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 8:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether France will score more than 2.5 goals during their FIFA World Cup match against Iraq. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—France scoring over 2.5 goals—stands at 99.0%. Resolution is determined by the official goal count recorded during the France vs Iraq match on June 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for the final whistle on June 22, 2026, when the official goal tally will settle this contract.
Resolution is based on the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). France's goal thresholds are evaluated at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals, while Iraq's thresholds are at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team exceeds the specified goal threshold.
Prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect different risk assessments than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate trader beliefs directly rather than balancing liability. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage exposure and profit margins, while prediction markets price based on collective trader conviction. For France vs Iraq: Team Total, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges. Prediction markets may move faster on breaking news or injury reports, while sportsbooks sometimes lag due to operational constraints. Tracking both sources helps identify value and understand how different pricing mechanisms weight the same event.
On Kalshi, France vs Iraq: Team Total is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy contracts if they believe the outcome is underpriced and sell if they think it is overpriced. Kalshi's order book matches buyers and sellers in real time, so prices adjust dynamically as new information arrives and trading interest shifts. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate liquidity; tighter spreads suggest higher confidence and easier entry or exit for traders.
The France vs Iraq: Team Total market resolves on Jun 23, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official result of the match as recorded by the relevant sports authority. The market will settle based on whether the specified team total threshold is met or exceeded at the end of regulation play. Traders should monitor official league announcements and scorekeeping for any delays, corrections, or disputes that could affect settlement timing. Once the outcome is confirmed, the market locks and payouts are distributed according to the contract terms.
Key catalysts for France vs Iraq: Team Total include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and scoring trends, and tactical adjustments by either coach. Pre-match press conferences often reveal lineup surprises or strategic shifts that traders react to immediately. Weather conditions on match day can affect pace and scoring volume. Historical head-to-head records and home-field advantage also influence expectations. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news—such as unexpected absences or lineup confirmations—typically triggers sharp price moves. Monitor team social media, official announcements, and sports news outlets for developments that could shift the probability of hitting the team total threshold.