TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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France vs. Iraq - Halftime Result
predict
polymarket
kalshi

France vs. Iraq - Halftime Result

Volume:
$1,572,367

France

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

France

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$720,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

France wins 1H 1-0

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,648
N/A
N/A
$36,748
Settled
Yes
predict

FRA

N/A
N/A
—
$32,916
$162,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iraq

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

IRQ

N/A
N/A
—
$801
$18,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Iraq wins 1H 1-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,869
N/A
N/A
$17,257
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins 1H 2-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102,964
N/A
N/A
$80,019
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1H 0-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,777
N/A
N/A
$25,670
Settled
No
predict

Draw

N/A
N/A
—
$437
$19,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins 1H 3-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,580
N/A
N/A
$68,747
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins 1H 3-1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,926
N/A
N/A
$30,522
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins 1H 2-1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,723
N/A
N/A
$32,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Iraq wins 1H 2-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,340
N/A
N/A
$16,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1H 1-1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,851
N/A
N/A
$13,487
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw 1H 2-2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,460
N/A
N/A
$2,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Iraq wins 1H 2-1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,058
N/A
N/A
$945
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers halftime result markets for the France vs. Iraq FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 22, 2026. Three binary markets track whether France leads, Iraq leads, or the teams are tied at the end of the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Draw market on Predict and Polymarket explicitly resolve to YES upon game cancellation with no make-up, while the France and Iraq leading markets resolve to NO. Kalshi's enumeration-based approach does not explicitly address cancellation, creating potential ambiguity in edge-case resolution.Hero tip: Traders holding draw positions should verify cancellation protocol with their platform before settlement. The divergence is unlikely to matter if the match is played, but becomes critical if the game is canceled entirely. Clarify whether cancellation = draw (YES) or cancellation = no result (NO).

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Three separate binary markets: France leading (YES if France wins first 45 min), Iraq leading (YES if Iraq wins first 45 min), and Draw (YES if tied at halftime). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".' France and Iraq markets resolve NO under cancellation.
  • Polymarket: Identical logic to Predict: three binary markets with same resolution criteria. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation; France and Iraq markets resolve NO. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"' (Draw) vs. 'this market will resolve to "No"' (France/Iraq).
  • Kalshi: Uses exhaustive enumeration of halftime score outcomes (0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-0, 3-1). All listed scores resolve to YES. Does not explicitly address game postponement or cancellation scenarios. Implicitly assumes the match will be played and a halftime score will be recorded.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The France vs Iraq match will be evaluated based on the score at the end of the first half of the FIFA World Cup game. Resolution is determined by the exact scoreline when the first 45 minutes of play conclude. The market includes possible outcomes ranging from scoreless draws (0-0) to France leads (up to 3-0) and Iraq leads (up to 2-1), as well as tied halftime scores (1-1, 2-2). Each specific first-half scoreline represents a distinct outcome that resolves to Yes if that exact result is recorded when the first half ends.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

The France vs. Iraq - Halftime Result dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading decentralized prediction markets. It tracks which team traders expect to be leading at halftime, displaying live probability estimates, cumulative trading volume, and consensus shifts as match conditions evolve. This cross-platform view lets you compare how different market communities price the same halftime outcome, revealing whether consensus is strong or diverging between venues.

Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader conviction rather than sportsbook margin-based pricing. Decentralized markets like Polymarket and Kalshi aggregate thousands of independent bets with no house edge, often producing sharper, more responsive halftime forecasts than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks build in juice and adjust lines for liability; prediction markets move purely on supply and demand. For France vs. Iraq, comparing market probabilities to sportsbook spreads reveals whether public perception or professional oddsmakers hold an edge on halftime leadership.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict serve different trader bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may attract larger institutional flow, while Predict draws retail or regional participants. Latency in order-book matching, differences in market-maker participation, and timing of major news (injury, lineup changes) can cause temporary price gaps. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit discrepancies, but during volatile pre-match periods or low-liquidity windows, halftime outcome probabilities may diverge by several percentage points between the two venues.

Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury updates, particularly to star forwards or defensive leaders. Tactical announcements, weather conditions at kickoff, and recent form or head-to-head history can shift trader positioning. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or dominant possession in the opening minutes—will trigger sharp repricing as traders update halftime forecasts. Pre-match betting action on full-match outcomes and halftime prop markets also influences sentiment. Monitor official team news and live commentary for real-time probability swings.