TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers halftime result markets for the France vs. Iraq FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 22, 2026. Three binary markets track whether France leads, Iraq leads, or the teams are tied at the end of the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The France vs Iraq match will be evaluated based on the score at the end of the first half of the FIFA World Cup game. Resolution is determined by the exact scoreline when the first 45 minutes of play conclude. The market includes possible outcomes ranging from scoreless draws (0-0) to France leads (up to 3-0) and Iraq leads (up to 2-1), as well as tied halftime scores (1-1, 2-2). Each specific first-half scoreline represents a distinct outcome that resolves to Yes if that exact result is recorded when the first half ends.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader conviction rather than sportsbook margin-based pricing. Decentralized markets like Polymarket and Kalshi aggregate thousands of independent bets with no house edge, often producing sharper, more responsive halftime forecasts than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks build in juice and adjust lines for liability; prediction markets move purely on supply and demand. For France vs. Iraq, comparing market probabilities to sportsbook spreads reveals whether public perception or professional oddsmakers hold an edge on halftime leadership.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict serve different trader bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may attract larger institutional flow, while Predict draws retail or regional participants. Latency in order-book matching, differences in market-maker participation, and timing of major news (injury, lineup changes) can cause temporary price gaps. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit discrepancies, but during volatile pre-match periods or low-liquidity windows, halftime outcome probabilities may diverge by several percentage points between the two venues.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury updates, particularly to star forwards or defensive leaders. Tactical announcements, weather conditions at kickoff, and recent form or head-to-head history can shift trader positioning. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or dominant possession in the opening minutes—will trigger sharp repricing as traders update halftime forecasts. Pre-match betting action on full-match outcomes and halftime prop markets also influences sentiment. Monitor official team news and live commentary for real-time probability swings.