TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 9:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if France scores a strictly greater number of goals than Brazil across all matches played at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored during extra time count toward the total. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count. This market will resolve as soon as both France and Brazil have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for France and Brazil are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if France scores a strictly greater number of goals than Brazil across all matches played at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored during extra time count toward the total. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count. This market will resolve as soon as both France and Brazil have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for France and Brazil are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves, who aggregate dispersed information and personal forecasts. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue's participants have fresher data about team form, injuries, or tactical shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of the tournament.
On Limitless, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the market price emerges from the balance of supply and demand. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe France will score more goals, they bid up the price of that outcome; conversely, confidence in Brazil pushes the opposite direction. The platform's order book and continuous pricing mechanism ensure that the odds reflect the collective forecast of all active participants in real time, with no central operator setting the line.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the France versus Brazil World Cup match concludes and the final goal tally is verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the total goals scored by each team during regulation and extra time if applicable. Resolution is confirmed once the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the official match record, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative data.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, qualifying-round performance and goal-scoring trends, and tactical shifts revealed in warm-up matches. Head-to-head history and recent form in competitive fixtures can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and late-breaking news about player fitness closer to kickoff may also trigger sharp repricing. Major upsets or standout performances by either nation in earlier tournament rounds could reshape expectations about their offensive firepower.