TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether France will score at least 3 goals during the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with the leading outcome at 89.5%. Resolution is based on official FIFA records of goals scored in regulation and stoppage time across all group matches. France's attacking depth and recent tournament form suggest strong offensive potential, though group stage opponents and match circumstances will ultimately determine the final tally. Watch France's performance through the group stage matches concluding by June 28, 2026, to see whether they reach the 4-goal threshold for a Yes resolution.
France's total goal count during the 2026 World Cup group stage is measured across all group matches, including regulation and stoppage time. Own goals scored by opposing players that benefit France count toward France's total. Own goals scored by France's players that benefit opponents do not count toward France's total. Resolution occurs when France reaches or exceeds the specified goal threshold for each market tier.
On Kalshi, France: Group Stage Goals is priced as a binary contract asking whether France will score at least 10 goals in the group stage. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects trader conviction about France's offensive output across three group matches. Kalshi's order-book model allows you to buy or sell shares at any price between 0 and 100 cents, with the spread determined by real-time supply and demand. As match results come in and France's goal tally becomes clearer, the price will shift to reflect updated expectations, allowing traders to exit positions or adjust exposure before the market resolves.
The France: Group Stage Goals market on Kalshi resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after the conclusion of France's final group-stage match in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Resolution is determined by the official final goal count France scores across all three group-stage games. Once the group stage ends and the official tally is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the outcome matches the contract terms. Traders should monitor France's schedule and any postponements or rescheduling that might affect the resolution timeline.
France's goal total will be shaped by squad composition, injuries to key strikers, and opponent strength in their group. Major catalysts include official team announcements, injuries to Mbappé or other attacking players, and the draw details revealing group opponents. Each group-stage match result directly impacts the running total, so early wins or losses will shift odds as traders recalibrate France's remaining scoring potential. Tactical changes, coaching decisions, and momentum from victories or defeats will also influence market pricing as the tournament unfolds and France's path through the group becomes clearer.