TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
A national team will compete in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with one of their players or the team collectively emerging as the leading goal scorer during the tournament.
The market identifies France's top goal scorer at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time, but not during penalty shootouts. If multiple players tie for the most goals, Yes holders receive 1/N of their payout (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N equals the number of tied players, with No holders receiving the remainder. Should France fail to score any goals throughout the tournament, the No Goalscorer outcome resolves to Yes. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets aggregate real-time trader conviction, whereas analysts publish periodic reports. Market prices reflect live information flow and financial incentives to be accurate. For France: Goal Leader, comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions can reveal whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than the consensus view. Analysts may emphasize different factors or update less frequently, making the market a complementary data source for assessing this outcome.
France: Goal Leader is priced on Kalshi as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting trader beliefs about which player will lead France's goal-scoring tally. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Kalshi's pricing mechanism converts order flow into implied probabilities, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting market liquidity and uncertainty. As new match data, team news, or injury reports surface, traders adjust positions, moving the price. The contract price directly represents the market's collective forecast of the outcome through Jul 20, 2026.
The France: Goal Leader market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final tally of goals scored by each player in the relevant France matches or tournament period. Once the event concludes and official statistics are confirmed, the market settles to reflect which player finished as the leading goal scorer. Traders holding positions on the correct outcome receive payouts based on their entry price and contract size.
Key catalysts for France: Goal Leader include match results and goal-scoring performances, player injuries or roster changes, tactical shifts by the coaching staff, and head-to-head competition between top scorers. International breaks, friendly matches, and official tournament fixtures will all impact goal tallies. Media coverage of form, confidence, and playing time can shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about player availability or team strategy may trigger sharp price moves as the market reprices the probability of each contender reaching the top of the scoring chart.