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405,232
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Closed: Jun 30, 8:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by France and Sweden (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by France and Sweden (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust card-total odds based on team discipline history and referee tendencies, while prediction markets incorporate live sentiment shifts and breaking news. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders are pricing card risk differently, offering insight into where consensus leans on a high-card outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing "Yes" (4+ cards) and "No" (fewer than 4 cards) outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal cost of the last trade, and spreads can widen or tighten based on order flow and available liquidity. As match conditions change—injuries, tactical shifts, early cards—traders adjust positions, moving the market price in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the France-Sweden match concludes and the final card count is verified. The outcome is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regulation and any extra time. Resolution is confirmed once the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the official match record.
Key catalysts include team news—suspensions, injuries, or lineup changes that affect player availability or tactical aggression. Referee assignments matter significantly, as officials with stricter card-issuing records typically increase the probability of higher card totals. Recent head-to-head history, current disciplinary form, and any pre-match controversies can shift trader expectations. Early cards during the match itself will trigger sharp repricing as the actual card count becomes clearer, making live trading particularly active in the opening minutes.