TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 6:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by France and Northern Ireland (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 8, 2026, 19:10 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 8, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, following the conclusion of the France versus Northern Ireland match. Resolution is determined by the total number of cards (yellow and red) issued to both teams combined during the full match, including any added time. If the combined card total reaches four or more, the affirmative outcome wins. If fewer than four cards are issued in total, the negative outcome prevails. The final card count is verified once the match ends and official records are confirmed.
Several factors could shift the probability before Jun 9, 2026. Team news—such as suspensions, injuries, or lineup changes—may alter playing style and aggression levels. Referee assignment announcements are critical, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Pre-match analysis from sports media highlighting disciplinary records or historical head-to-head card patterns can influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue atmosphere, and tactical previews also matter. As kickoff approaches, any late-breaking developments regarding player availability or match circumstances will likely trigger price movement on Limitless.