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404,028

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2,681

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5

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Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax?

Volume:
$208,005

AFC Ajax

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 6:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ajax

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,271
N/A
N/A
$25,437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sittard

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,135
N/A
N/A
$24,462
Settled
No
polymarket

Fortuna Sittard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,920
N/A
N/A
$12,172
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a single soccer match between Fortuna Sittard and AFC Ajax scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves to 'No' on full cancellation, while Kalshi's behavior is undefined.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a full cancellation without a reschedule. If you believe it's possible, Polymarket offers more defined risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official stats are delayed. Resolution within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' for the winning team or a draw after 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is stated, implying the market would remain open or resolve based on a rescheduled game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Fortuna Sittard and AFC Ajax.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Sittard vs Ajax Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Sittard wins, the 'Sittard' market resolves to Yes. If Ajax wins, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, creating a dynamic price that can be more sensitive to new information or shifts in sentiment. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, especially when a large and informed group participates.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; Polymarket currently has a volume of approximately $208,005, while Kalshi shows a volume of $204,789. These differences in liquidity and participant behavior can create price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading decisions and contribute to price variations.