TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of goals scored during the normal playing time of a soccer match between Fortaleza and Palmeiras. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regulation time. The outcome depends purely on the game's scoring dynamics within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both Fortaleza and Palmeiras during the regulation time of their Copa do Brasil match exceed specified thresholds. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any extra time or penalty shootout periods. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based solely on the total goals scored within regulation time. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as market sentiment or recent performance trends. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities compared to standard sportsbook lines, offering a distinct perspective on expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The market price adjusts continuously based on trading volume and participant sentiment. With a volume of $112,558 and 24-hour volume of $102,377, the market reflects collective trader expectations about the number of goals in the Fortaleza vs Palmeiras match.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored during regulation time will determine the final result, closing the market once official match records are published.
Several signals could impact this market before Aug 6, 2026. Key team announcements, such as injuries to star players or changes in coaching strategy, may shift expectations. Recent match performance, especially goal-scoring trends, can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader factors like weather conditions or home-field advantage might affect the perceived likelihood of higher or lower scoring.