TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Fortaleza and Palmeiras in an upcoming Copa do Brasil soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for each team during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends on whether either team secures a win by a specified goal difference.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for victories by Fortaleza or Palmeiras in their scheduled Copa do Brasil match on August 5, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' outcome: Fortaleza winning by more than 2.5 goals, Fortaleza winning by more than 1.5 goals, Palmeiras winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Palmeiras winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, and the market resolves based on whether the actual match result meets any of these conditions. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions that set the probability of each possible spread outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all participants, with liquidity and volume influencing how quickly prices adjust. Traders can also provide liquidity, which helps narrow spreads and improve pricing accuracy as the event nears.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match statistics and confirmed results from recognized sports authorities, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or significant form shifts leading up to the match could move this market. Additionally, any major news such as coaching changes or weather conditions affecting the game could cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment and pricing. As the event draws closer, each new piece of credible information may cause noticeable adjustments in market odds.