TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Fortaleza EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fortaleza EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Fortaleza EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fortaleza EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from thousands of traders with real money at stake. For this match, comparing the implied probabilities on Polymarket to those offered by major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from bookmaker pricing. Discrepancies may signal value or highlight information asymmetries worth investigating before you commit capital.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds in real time as shares are bought and sold. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact-score outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes should sum to approximately 100 percent (minus the platform fee). Prices reflect the collective belief of active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the odds update dynamically to balance supply and demand across all possible scorelines.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match between Fortaleza and Grêmio Novorizontino concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; the winning contract corresponds to whichever exact score actually occurs. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial shifts—can significantly alter perceived match dynamics and shift exact-score probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments such as weather conditions or last-minute roster updates may trigger sharp repricing. During the match itself, live scoring will cause rapid adjustments; early goals or red cards can dramatically reshape the odds for remaining scorelines.