TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fortaleza EC vs. Avaí FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fortaleza EC vs. Avaí FC?

Volume:
$424,105

Fortaleza

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 8:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fortaleza

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$223,494
N/A
N/A
$110,812
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fortaleza EC

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Avai

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89,487
N/A
N/A
$54,774
Settled
No
polymarket

Avaí FC

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,327
N/A
N/A
$37,966
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Fortaleza EC vs. Avaí FC)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Fortaleza EC and Avaí FC scheduled for September 9, 2026. Markets cover whether Fortaleza wins, Avaí wins, or the game ends in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same 90+ minute timeframe and provide similar fallback mechanisms for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (CBF), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Fortaleza wins if Fortaleza EC has more goals than Avaí FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Avaí wins if Avaí FC has more goals than Fortaleza EC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The game ends in a draw if both teams have the same number of goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the 'Fortaleza wins' and 'Avaí wins' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, ideally within 2 hours of the match's conclusion. If official statistics are unavailable, resolution will occur when data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting is available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between Fortaleza EC and Avaí FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Fortaleza vs Avai professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Fortaleza, a win for Avai, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market will resolve to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s guidelines. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Fortaleza vs. Avaí match. Currently, the aggregated view suggests a consensus around the likely result, with a total volume of $424,105 across both platforms. The current market price reflects the collective predictions of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a dynamic assessment of who is favored to win. This allows for a comprehensive view of expectations for this match, combining insights from multiple prediction markets.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have different probabilities, the market can dynamically adjust as more information becomes available, potentially offering more accurate forecasts as the event approaches. It's a good practice to compare both to form a well-rounded view.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Fortaleza vs. Avaí match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions reflected in the market prices. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. While both markets aim to predict the same event, these variations in user base, volume, and trading dynamics can create discrepancies in the odds offered on Polymarket versus Kalshi.