TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Fortaleza EC and AA Ponte Preta, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortaleza EC" if Fortaleza EC score more goals than AA Ponte Preta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fortaleza EC and AA Ponte Preta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta" if AA Ponte Preta score more goals than Fortaleza EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Fortaleza EC and AA Ponte Preta, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortaleza EC" if Fortaleza EC score more goals than AA Ponte Preta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fortaleza EC and AA Ponte Preta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta" if AA Ponte Preta score more goals than Fortaleza EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and arbitrage. Sportsbooks may adjust faster for sharp money or injury news, whereas prediction markets can lag until informed traders react. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether professional bettors or casual traders currently dominate the pricing.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and share inventory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, representing the implied probability; as more traders buy one side, that price rises and the opposing outcome falls. The current pricing reflects the collective confidence in each potential second-half result. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifting sentiment.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the final score and match details. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, depending on platform processing and confirmation of the official result.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds before kickoff. First-half momentum and scoreline heavily influence second-half expectations; a team trailing by multiple goals faces different probabilities than one level or ahead. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also trigger repricing. As the match progresses, live score updates and in-game events will drive sharp traders to adjust positions, creating volatility in this market until the final whistle.