TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:59 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game between Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pereira, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortaleza CEIF" if Fortaleza CEIF score more goals than Deportivo Pereira in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pereira score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Deportivo Pereira" if Deportivo Pereira score more goals than Fortaleza CEIF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game between Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pereira, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortaleza CEIF" if Fortaleza CEIF score more goals than Deportivo Pereira in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pereira score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Deportivo Pereira" if Deportivo Pereira score more goals than Fortaleza CEIF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where bettors and traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts in how the second half is expected to unfold.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of its likelihood. As more traders buy or sell, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-reduced pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with the final price converging toward the true outcome probability as resolution approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only. Your position settles based on the final verified score, independent of any first-half action. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends, allowing traders to see confirmed results before the market officially closes and payouts are distributed.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff, which can shift expectations about second-half performance. Early first-half momentum and scoreline may influence trader sentiment about how each team will approach the second half. Red cards or significant tactical shifts during the match itself often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and real-time match flow all feed into trader decisions. Monitoring these developments helps you anticipate market moves and identify trading opportunities as new information emerges.