TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional USL Cup soccer match between Fort Wayne FC and Detroit City FC scheduled for July 11, 2026. The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Fort Wayne FC vs Detroit City FC professional USL Cup soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome is evaluated in three possible states: a win for Fort Wayne FC, a win for Detroit City FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie, the designated Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original July 11, 2026 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, depending on which venue's participants have stronger conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to public betting consensus.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders flow in. Higher demand for one outcome pushes its price up and the competing outcome down, keeping the two sides anchored near 100 cents combined. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result from the match. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges, injuries are announced, or team form shifts. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Key player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent team performance trends can all shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions on match day, head-to-head records, and any last-minute roster changes may trigger sharp price moves as new information reaches the market. Betting action on external sportsbooks and social media discussion can also influence how traders reassess their positions. Monitor team news and pre-match commentary closely, as these catalysts often drive volatility in the final hours before kickoff.