TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
13-16m
- Polymarket
13-16m - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 28, 2026
Closed: Sep 28, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for the Forgotten Island box office. While some analysts predict a moderate opening, this market suggests a wider range of possibilities are being considered by traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and allow participants to update their views based on new information. This contrasts with analyst forecasts, which are often static and based on a limited set of data points. The collective wisdom of the crowd often provides a unique and valuable signal.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official opening weekend box office numbers for Forgotten Island are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from box office tracking services, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the actual revenue generated during the film’s opening weekend. The market will then settle to the outcome that aligns with the reported box office figures, providing a clear result for all participants.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Positive or negative reviews from prominent film critics will undoubtedly influence trader sentiment. Unexpected marketing pushes or viral social media trends could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding competitor releases during the same weekend could impact the perceived potential of the Forgotten Island box office. Early ticket pre-sales data, if released, would be a major catalyst. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the film's appeal and potential audience size could lead to substantial changes in trading activity and market prices.
