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Forge FC vs. Supra du Quebec - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Forge FC vs. Supra du Quebec?

Volume:
$21,676

Vancouver FC

 - Kalshi

Vancouver FC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 8:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vancouver FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,002
N/A
N/A
$4,045
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,871
N/A
N/A
$5,060
Settled
No
kalshi

FC Supra Du Quebec

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,803
N/A
N/A
$4,603
Settled
No
polymarket

Supra du Quebec

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Forge FC

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Forge FC and Supra du Quebec. The markets consider goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves on the game's outcome (win/tie), while Polymarket resolves on which team scores first. This is a fundamental difference in the event being predicted.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket if you want to predict the first goalscorer. Kalshi is a broader bet on whether the game will have a result within regulation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Forge FC or Supra du Quebec if they score first within 90 minutes + stoppage time, or 'Neither' if no one scores. Uses a defined resolution source hierarchy (official stats -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> consensus).
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins or the game is a tie after 90 minutes + stoppage time. The game being played is also different (Vancouver FC vs. Supra du Quebec).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Forge FC and Supra du Quebec, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Forge FC" if Forge FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Supra du Quebec" if Supra du Quebec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Vancouver FC vs FC Supra Du Quebec professional Canadian Premier League soccer match originally scheduled for September 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Vancouver FC wins the match within regulation time, the 'Vancouver FC' market resolves to Yes. If FC Supra Du Quebec wins within regulation time, the 'FC Supra Du Quebec' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regulation time and stoppage minutes, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Forge FC or Supra du Quebec scoring first in their upcoming match. It aggregates trading volume across both platforms, currently totaling volume of $21,676 and 24-hour volume of $21,676. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, though differing opinions can emerge. Currently, the market reflects the collective intelligence of forecasters on both venues regarding which team is most likely to break the deadlock. The dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor price movements and overall market sentiment for the Forge FC vs. Supra du Quebec match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd, where prices are driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. However, liquidity and market-specific factors can also cause discrepancies between this market and sportsbook offerings.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying risk tolerances and information sets. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price discovery; higher volume generally leads to more efficient pricing. Regulatory differences and platform-specific rules can also contribute to discrepancies. While both platforms track the same underlying event, these nuances can result in distinct probabilities being reflected in the prices for the Forge FC vs. Supra du Quebec match.