TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 5K
- Kalshi
Above 5K - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:18h:38m
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?
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Description
This event tracks the performance of The Big Moon's album "Forever" during a specific week in late October to early November 2026. The outcome depends on whether the album achieves certain sales thresholds, measured in album equivalent units, which combine traditional sales with streaming and other metrics. Results will be determined by an independent data provider.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether The Big Moon’s album "Forever" achieves specified thresholds of Album Equivalent Units (AEU) within the U.S. during the tracking week of October 30, 2026, to November 5, 2026. Multiple markets correspond to different AEU thresholds: above 2,000; above 5,000; above 7,000; above 10,000; above 12,000; and above 15,000 units. All markets resolve based on data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate serves as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse any market outcomes. The resolution of each market is binary—Yes if the stated threshold is surpassed, No otherwise—with all markets sharing the same data source and timing.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of crowd wisdom. While analysts may publish their expectations based on historical data and trends, this market lets traders bet on outcomes continuously. The current implied probability can diverge from or align with those forecasts, depending on new releases, promotional activity, or public reception influencing trader behavior.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the album’s first-week equivalent units are verified against credible public sources. The final number will be drawn from official industry reports, and the market will settle based on that verified total, closing all remaining positions at that moment.
Key signals that could shift this market include major promotional events, early streaming numbers, media coverage, and any last-minute changes in artist availability or public interest. A surprise collaboration, chart inclusions, or negative press could also cause rapid price swings. Traders will watch social media trends and pre-order updates closely as the resolution date approaches.
