TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which one team might win over the other. The resolution depends solely on the official game result, with specific provisions for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Fordham vs William & Mary college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For markets where William & Mary wins by a specified margin or more, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they meet or exceed that margin. Conversely, if Fordham wins by more than 3.5 points, the relevant market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Keep in mind that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Fordham vs William & Mary spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to offer accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price represents the market’s assessment of the probability of the spread falling within a specific range at the conclusion of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Fordham vs William & Mary game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Fordham or William & Mary teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role in influencing trading activity in this market.