TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 2:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Taylor Swift's album "folklore" achieves streaming performance above a specified threshold during a specific week in June. Streaming data comes from Luminate, a neutral metrics provider, and reflects worldwide listener activity across all streaming platforms.
If folklore has above 38,063,484 Worldwide Streams during the June 12 - June 18, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst commentary or media speculation. While analysts may rely on interviews, historical patterns, or insider reporting, this market aggregates the financial stakes of participants betting on the actual outcome. Markets tend to incorporate new information faster than published forecasts update. Comparing the current odds to recent analyst statements or industry commentary can reveal where traders are pricing in factors analysts may have overlooked or underweighted. This gap sometimes signals emerging consensus or contrarian opportunity.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the specified streaming event occurs within the defined timeframe. Once credible sources confirm the result, the market settles and traders' positions are finalized. Until that date, odds may continue to shift as new information emerges or as traders adjust their positions. Monitoring reliable entertainment news outlets in the days leading up to resolution can help you anticipate how the market may move.
Official announcements from the artist, record label, or streaming platforms would be the most direct catalyst for market movement. Unexpected delays, surprise releases, or confirmations of the streaming date could trigger sharp repricing. Social media activity, fan speculation, and entertainment news coverage may also influence trader sentiment and shift odds incrementally. Industry reports about streaming strategy or competing releases that week could sway conviction. As the resolution date approaches, any credible reporting about whether the event will occur as expected typically generates the most significant trading volume and price volatility.