TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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FM Championship End of Round 2 Leader
kalshi

FM Championship End of Round 2 Leader

Volume:
$2,552

Miyu Yamashita

 - Kalshi

Miyu Yamashita - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 7:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miyu Yamashita

View
33%
32%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Hyo Joo Kim

33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

Allisen Corpuz

33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Michelle Zhang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina Lopez-Chacarra Coto

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
$118
Settled
No
kalshi

Yu Liu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

You Min Hwang

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuka Saso

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
No
kalshi

Yan Liu

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$99
Settled
No
kalshi

Polly Mack

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
kalshi

Yana Wilson

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
No
kalshi

Lexi Thompson

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

Jiwon Jeon

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

Sei Young Kim

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeeno Thitikul

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

Hae-Ran Ryu

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

Nelly Korda

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Megan Khang

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

Pornanong Phatlum

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

Maude-Aimee Leblanc

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

Laetitia Beck

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

Linn Grant

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

Paula Martin Sampedro

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

Natasha Andrea Oon

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

Chisato Iwai

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 144

Description

This market tracks which golfer will hold the lead after the second round of the 2026 FM Championship. It reflects the competitive performance of players through 36 holes of play, with payouts adjusted if multiple competitors share the top position.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the leader after Round 2 of the 2026 FM Championship. If a single participant leads, "Yes" positions win their full investment and "No" positions lose. When multiple players are tied for the lead, "Yes" payouts are divided equally among all tied leaders (calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied participants, rounded down to the nearest cent), while "No" positions receive the remainder (1 minus the "Yes" payout). All markets are independent and resolve solely according to the stated conditions, with no official affiliation to the PGA or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders who can continuously adjust positions. While sportsbooks may offer fixed lines based on broader analyst views, this market allows for rapid shifts in pricing as new performance data emerges. Traders should watch for divergence between the two, as it can signal changing expectations about which player will lead after Round 2.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leader after Round 2 will be determined by official tournament results, and the market will close accordingly. No further trading will occur after that point, and payouts will be based on the final, confirmed standings.

Key performances in upcoming matches, injuries to top contenders, and strategic decisions by coaches can all shift this market. Traders will watch live scores, player statistics, and any breaking news that impacts contender positioning. As Round 2 progresses, any change in the leaderboard or expectations about final outcomes is likely to cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.