TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Shopify Rebellion or FlyQuest will win their League of Legends match scheduled for September 25, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Shopify Rebellion a 99.0% probability of winning, while FlyQuest is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the LCS 2026: FlyQuest vs. Shopify Rebellion match, as determined by the official League of Legends standings. Keep a close eye on the match itself, as the resolution hinges on which team wins the game originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT.
The event determines the winner of a specific League of Legends match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion scheduled for September 25, 2026. If FlyQuest wins the match as officially recognized by the league, the FlyQuest market resolves to Yes, and the Shopify Rebellion market resolves to No. Conversely, if Shopify Rebellion wins, their market resolves to Yes, and FlyQuest’s resolves to No. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours without starting, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to their fair market prices. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the league or tournament organizers. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows participants to freely trade and adjust probabilities based on new information or shifts in sentiment. It's common to see prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as the event draws closer and more information becomes available. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds offered elsewhere. The current market indicates a strong level of interest in the potential outcomes of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FlyQuest versus Shopify Rebellion League of Legends match. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could significantly shift the odds. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact sentiment. Analyst predictions and public opinion, while not directly reflected in the market, can sometimes influence trading activity. Additionally, any in-game developments during the match itself, such as early game advantages or key player performances, could lead to rapid price movements as traders react to the unfolding events.