TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama in an upcoming Copa do Brasil soccer match. It focuses on the difference in goals scored during regular time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes depend on whether one team achieves a decisive victory margin over the other.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil match scheduled for August 5, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Four distinct outcomes are possible: Fluminense winning by more than 2.5 goals, Fluminense winning by more than 1.5 goals, Vasco da Gama winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Vasco da Gama winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met within the defined timeframe. Extra time and penalty phases are explicitly excluded from consideration. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the crowd-sourced nature of trading. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent momentum, injuries, or other factors influencing trader confidence.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective expectation of the match outcome. The current top outcome represents what most participants believe is the most likely result, with the market adjusting dynamically as new information emerges, such as player updates or in-game events.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of regulation time will determine which side wins, and the market will close accordingly shortly after the match concludes.