TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fluminense FC and Red Bull Bragantino, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Fluminense FC and Red Bull Bragantino, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders betting real money on this market may incorporate live information, team news, or tactical adjustments faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in factors the books have not yet fully reflected, making this a useful signal for identifying value.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—Fluminense scoring first or Bragantino scoring first—represents the crowd's collective belief about that event's probability. As traders buy and sell shares, the price moves continuously, reflecting new information, team injuries, or tactical changes announced before kickoff. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that a particular team will strike first.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is confirmed when credible public reporting—such as official match records or major sports news outlets—verifies which team scored first. If the match ends in a 0–0 draw, the market resolves to neither team. Resolution typically occurs within hours of final whistle, ensuring traders receive timely settlement.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, defensive absences, or tactical lineup changes—can shift odds significantly. Pre-match press conferences or manager statements about attacking intent may influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, pitch quality reports, or recent form trends in head-to-head matchups also drive repricing. Live match developments, such as an early chance or a red card in the opening minutes, will cause sharp moves. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can also trigger rapid price adjustments as new conviction enters the order book.